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91w发展遥遥无期

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热扰编号:91W
2022-01-24 15:00 UTC
Invest 91W has a low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours.
Satellite images show some organized banding wrapping into a partially exposed low-level circulation (LLC).
Analysis shows overall favorable conditions defined by low to moderate (15-20 knots) wind shear, being offset by fair poleward outflow and warm (27-28°C) sea surface temperatures.
ECMWF and GFS are in general agreement on the westward track of Invest 91W and despite the overall favorable environment, limited time over water before making landfall over Mindanao shows the system is not expected to reach warning criteria in the next 2 days.
Surface winds are around 20-30 km/h (10-15 knots). Minimum sea-level pressure is near 1004 mb.
Information provided by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC).
资料来源:zoomearth









来自Android客户端1楼2022-01-24 23:27回复