【讨论低压】西北太平洋热带低压WP152014

WTPQ20 RJTD 121200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121200UTC 13.0N 133.6E POOR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 131200UTC 14.2N 132.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

WTPQ20 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121800UTC 13.6N 133.0E POOR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 131800UTC 16.0N 130.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

热带性低气压1004hpa，北纬14度，东经133度，向西北移动，有发展为轻度台风趋势

位于菲律宾以东低压区已增强为热带低气压，下午9时热带低气压集结在马尼拉偏东1300公里西北太平洋洋面上，中心持续风速60公里每小时，以西北方向移动，横过吕宋以东海域

WTPQ20 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 13.9N 132.7E POOR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1006HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 131800UTC 16.4N 130.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NWSLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

WTPQ20 RJTD 131800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131000UTC 14.5N 131.6E POOR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1008HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 131800UTC 16.9N 129.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NWSLOWLY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT =

WTPQ20 RJTD 131803
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131000UTC 14.8N 131.3E POOR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1008HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 141803UTC 16.6N 129.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NWSLOWLY
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT = 48HF 130000UTC 17.9N 125.6E POOR MOVEALMOST STATIONARY PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT

上午9时热带低气压集结在马尼拉偏东1100公里西北太平洋洋面上，中心持续风速50公里每小时，向西北或西北偏西方向移动，移向吕宋一带

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 121806
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD INITIAL TIME 121800 UTC
00HR 14.8N 131.1E 1004HPA 14M/S
MOVE NW 15KM/H
P+12HR 15.7N 130.2E 1002HPA 15M/S
P+24HR 16.6N 129.3E 1000HPA 16M/S
P+36HR 17.1N 128.0E 998HPA 18M/S
P+48HR 17.3N 126.4E 990HPA 23M/S
P+60HR 17.5N 124.8E 980HPA 30M/S
P+72HR 17.8N 123.3E 970HPA 35M/S
P+96HR 18.0N 121.7E 975HPA 33M/S
P+120HR 18.3N 120.2E 980HPA 30M/S=
NNNN

WTPQ20 RJTD 130000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130000UTC 15.1N 131.0E POOR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1006HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT
FORECAST
24HF 141803UTC 16.9N 129.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NWSLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 030KT
GUST 045KT = 48HF 130000UTC 17.5N 126.2E POOR MOVEALMOST STATIONARY PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT GUST 050KT

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 130000
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD INITIAL TIME 130000 UTC
00HR 15.2N 130.8E 1004HPA 15M/S
MOVE NW 15KM/H
P+12HR 16.4N 129.6E 1000HPA 18M/S
P+24HR 16.8N 127.3E 992HPA 23M/S
P+36HR 17.1N 125.2E 980HPA 30M/S
P+48HR 17.3N 123.0E 970HPA 35M/S
P+60HR 17.5N 121.8E 980HPA 30M/S
P+72HR 17.9N 119.8E 985HPA 25M/S
P+96HR 18.5N 118.0E 982HPA 28M/S
P+120HR 19.5N 117.6E 975HPA 33M/S=
NNNN